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Author Topic: Social distancing and non-essential doctor appointments  (Read 373 times)

Hobbes

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Re: Social distancing and non-essential doctor appointments
« Reply #15 on: March 22, 2020, 10:14:51 pm »
Everyone does. If the disease doubled every day, one person gives it to two who give it to four who give it to eight, etc... Then it would take almost exactly one month for the whole world to be infected after the first case.

But maybe the hardest to understand part is how a very small cohort portends unavoidable disaster. In the above scenario, where the whole world is infected in a single month, 20 days in, under two weeks from when the whole world has it, one hundredth of one percent would have it.

By the time you know it's a problem it's far too late.
 

Roper

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Re: Social distancing and non-essential doctor appointments
« Reply #16 on: March 23, 2020, 01:46:26 am »
I was listening to an interview with a CDC official. He said that in populations which have been studied so far, 85% percent of the people who contract the COVID-19 virus will have milder symptoms which can be treated at home. 10% will have more serious symptoms but will not require hospitalization. 5% will have serious conditions which require hospitalization. Some will die.
All grown-ups were once children...but only few of them remember it. ― Antoine de Saint-Exupéry, "The Little Prince."
 

JLM

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Re: Social distancing and non-essential doctor appointments
« Reply #17 on: March 23, 2020, 05:19:02 pm »
If the variable is in the exponent, it's exponential.  If it's in the base, it's geometric.  If there is no exponent. it's linear.  If it has a sine or cosine function, it's cyclic.  If there is an "ln" or "log" function, it's logarithmic.  If there is a "snooze" function, you have an alarm clock.
 
The following users thanked this post: LMAshton, Scruffydog, Roper

 


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